YEARLY HIGH
0.3174 HUF
YEARLY LOW
0.2475 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2918 HUF

2016 CDF to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the CDF to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 17, valuing the pair at 0.3174. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 24, dropping to 0.2475.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0699 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3121 to the December average rate of 0.2542, the exchange rate registered a net change of -18.55% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.3174 was down 0.11% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.3178, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,587 HUF
2015 Average 1,508 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 1,238 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 349.61 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.3179
0.2484
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3013, compared to 0.2823 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0190 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3013
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2823

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0620 HUF (High: 0.3174 / Low: 0.2554). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0044 HUF (High: 0.2980 / Low: 0.2936).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0620
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0044

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0350 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0350

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 0.2892) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.3138), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0246 (-7.85%).

2016 Avg (November) 0.2892
2015 Avg (November) 0.3138

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3152 0.3090 0.3121
February 0.3078 0.2965 0.3009
March 0.3088 0.2962 0.3014
April 0.2980 0.2936 0.2962
May 0.3045 0.2910 0.3001
June 0.3044 0.2869 0.2972
July 0.3029 0.2852 0.2985
August 0.2885 0.2791 0.2834
September 0.2845 0.2783 0.2820
October 0.2945 0.2785 0.2865
November 0.3174 0.2554 0.2892
December 0.2593 0.2475 0.2542