YEARLY HIGH
0.1776 HUF
YEARLY LOW
0.1538 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1669 HUF

2018 CDF to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the CDF to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 1, valuing the pair at 0.1776. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 0.1538.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0238 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1582 to the December average rate of 0.1745, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.25% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.1776 was down 30.43% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.2553, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 888 HUF
2017 Average 952 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 769 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 118.94 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.1765
0.1548
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1610, compared to 0.1727 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0117 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1610
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1727

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.0103 HUF (High: 0.1654 / Low: 0.1551). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0026 HUF (High: 0.1577 / Low: 0.1552).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0103
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0026

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0016 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0016

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 0.1745) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.1675), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0070 (+4.15%).

2018 Avg (December) 0.1745
2017 Avg (December) 0.1675

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1654 0.1551 0.1582
February 0.1594 0.1538 0.1568
March 0.1577 0.1552 0.1566
April 0.1608 0.1551 0.1573
May 0.1722 0.1621 0.1660
June 0.1760 0.1672 0.1712
July 0.1768 0.1673 0.1713
August 0.1759 0.1687 0.1721
September 0.1728 0.1674 0.1705
October 0.1765 0.1702 0.1732
November 0.1776 0.1714 0.1747
December 0.1776 0.1710 0.1745