YEARLY HIGH
2.2872 MGA
YEARLY LOW
1.8986 MGA
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.0636 MGA

2018 CDF to MGA Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the CDF to MGA exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 1, valuing the pair at 2.2872. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 8, dropping to 1.8986.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3886 MGA. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.0252 to the December average rate of 2.1848, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.88% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2.2872 was down 21.12% compared to the 2017 peak of 2.8996, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 11,436 MGA
2017 Average 10,819 MGA
Yearly Trough Low 9,493 MGA
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,943.21 MGA purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2.2436
1.9214
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to MGA Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.0055, compared to 2.1217 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1162 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.0055
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.1217

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.1548 MGA (High: 2.2872 / Low: 2.1324). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0361 MGA (High: 2.0526 / Low: 2.0166).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1548
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0361

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0576 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0576

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 2.1848) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2.0449), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1399 (+6.84%).

2018 Avg (December) 2.1848
2017 Avg (December) 2.0449

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.0858 1.9979 2.0252
February 2.0104 1.9350 1.9676
March 1.9912 1.8986 1.9483
April 2.0165 1.9802 1.9917
May 2.0611 1.9957 2.0181
June 2.1101 2.0498 2.0822
July 2.1007 1.9963 2.0637
August 2.0526 2.0166 2.0336
September 2.1138 2.0318 2.0804
October 2.1732 2.1037 2.1509
November 2.2600 2.1671 2.2167
December 2.2872 2.1324 2.1848