2016 CDF to MOP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0088 MOP

YEARLY LOW

0.0067 MOP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0083 MOP

2016 CDF to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the CDF to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 11, valuing the pair at 0.0088. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 24, dropping to 0.0067.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0021 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0086 to the December average rate of 0.0069, the exchange rate registered a net change of -20.64% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0088 was up 0.90% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0087, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 44 MOP

2015 Average 43 MOP

Yearly Trough Low 33 MOP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 10.47 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0088

0.0067

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0086, compared to 0.0080 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0006 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0086

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0080

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0018 MOP (High: 0.0087 / Low: 0.0070). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 MOP (High: 0.0086 / Low: 0.0086).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0018

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0012 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0012

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 0.0085) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0086), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0001 (-1.32%).

2016 Avg (June) 0.0085

2015 Avg (June) 0.0086

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0087	0.0086	0.0086
February	0.0087	0.0086	0.0086
March	0.0087	0.0086	0.0086
April	0.0086	0.0086	0.0086
May	0.0086	0.0086	0.0086
June	0.0088	0.0083	0.0085
July	0.0085	0.0082	0.0084
August	0.0082	0.0081	0.0082
September	0.0082	0.0081	0.0082
October	0.0083	0.0081	0.0082
November	0.0087	0.0070	0.0081
December	0.0070	0.0067	0.0069