YEARLY HIGH
0.0040 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.0029 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0035 MOP

2023 CDF to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the CDF to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 18, valuing the pair at 0.0040. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 0.0029.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0011 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0039 to the December average rate of 0.0030, the exchange rate registered a net change of -24.75% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 0.0040 was down 2.18% compared to the 2022 peak of 0.0041, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20 MOP
2022 Average 20 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 14 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5.48 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

0.0040
0.0029
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0038, compared to 0.0032 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0006 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0038
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0032

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was May, with a trading range of 0.0005 MOP (High: 0.0040 / Low: 0.0035). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0001 MOP (High: 0.0033 / Low: 0.0032).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0005
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2023. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0003 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0003

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2023: 0.0039) against the same month in 2022 (average: 0.0040), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0001 (-1.76%).

2023 Avg (January) 0.0039
2022 Avg (January) 0.0040

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0040 0.0039 0.0039
February 0.0040 0.0039 0.0039
March 0.0040 0.0039 0.0039
April 0.0040 0.0037 0.0039
May 0.0040 0.0035 0.0037
June 0.0035 0.0033 0.0034
July 0.0033 0.0032 0.0033
August 0.0033 0.0032 0.0033
September 0.0033 0.0032 0.0032
October 0.0033 0.0031 0.0032
November 0.0033 0.0030 0.0032
December 0.0030 0.0029 0.0030