YEARLY HIGH
0.0649 RSD
YEARLY LOW
0.0585 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0619 RSD

2018 CDF to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the CDF to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 26, valuing the pair at 0.0649. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 15, dropping to 0.0585.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0064 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0607 to the December average rate of 0.0640, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.32% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0649 was down 36.30% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.1018, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 324 RSD
2017 Average 374 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 292 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 31.89 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0646
0.0588
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0606, compared to 0.0631 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0025 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0606
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0631

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0041 RSD (High: 0.0647 / Low: 0.0606). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0010 RSD (High: 0.0597 / Low: 0.0586).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0041
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0010

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0012 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0012

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 0.0641) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0644), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0003 (-0.42%).

2018 Avg (November) 0.0641
2017 Avg (November) 0.0644

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0630 0.0595 0.0607
February 0.0606 0.0585 0.0595
March 0.0597 0.0586 0.0593
April 0.0606 0.0591 0.0596
May 0.0634 0.0606 0.0619
June 0.0633 0.0620 0.0626
July 0.0647 0.0606 0.0623
August 0.0640 0.0615 0.0629
September 0.0627 0.0612 0.0621
October 0.0646 0.0625 0.0633
November 0.0649 0.0632 0.0641
December 0.0649 0.0630 0.0640