YEARLY HIGH
1.2112 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1.0525 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.1312 UGX

2019 COP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the COP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 10, valuing the pair at 1.2112. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 2, dropping to 1.0525.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1587 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1710 to the December average rate of 1.0885, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.05% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1.2112 was down 11.34% compared to the 2018 peak of 1.3662, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000,000 COP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,056,226 UGX
2018 Average 6,313,449 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 5,262,573 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 793,652.56 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1.1961
1.0655
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

COP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.1676, compared to 1.0949 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0727 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.1676
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0949

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.0732 UGX (High: 1.1327 / Low: 1.0595). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0343 UGX (High: 1.0995 / Low: 1.0651).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0732
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0343

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0684 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0684

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2019: 1.1836) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1.3316), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1480 (-11.11%).

2019 Avg (April) 1.1836
2018 Avg (April) 1.3316

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.1943 1.1328 1.1710
February 1.2017 1.1667 1.1789
March 1.2039 1.1692 1.1852
April 1.2112 1.1520 1.1836
May 1.1646 1.1118 1.1400
June 1.1651 1.1160 1.1468
July 1.1654 1.1133 1.1527
August 1.1327 1.0595 1.0843
September 1.0995 1.0651 1.0816
October 1.1023 1.0525 1.0764
November 1.1177 1.0533 1.0858
December 1.1170 1.0534 1.0885