YEARLY HIGH
1.1402 UGX
YEARLY LOW
0.9095 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.0102 UGX

2020 COP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the COP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 1.1402. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 19, dropping to 0.9095.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2307 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.1113 to the December average rate of 1.0586, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.74% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 1.1402 was down 5.86% compared to the 2019 peak of 1.2112, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000,000 COP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,701,068 UGX
2019 Average 5,654,549 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 4,547,467 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,153,601.30 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

1.1272
0.9373
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

COP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0187, compared to 1.0016 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0171 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0187
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0016

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.1655 UGX (High: 1.0750 / Low: 0.9095). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0303 UGX (High: 1.0925 / Low: 1.0622).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.1655
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0303

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.1049 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1049

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2020: 1.1113) against the same month in 2019 (average: 1.1710), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0596 (-5.09%).

2020 Avg (January) 1.1113
2019 Avg (January) 1.1710

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.1402 1.0750 1.1113
February 1.0925 1.0622 1.0794
March 1.0750 0.9095 0.9745
April 0.9831 0.9252 0.9531
May 1.0205 0.9505 0.9848
June 1.0565 0.9812 1.0091
July 1.0308 0.9859 1.0149
August 0.9893 0.9523 0.9727
September 1.0124 0.9545 0.9857
October 0.9901 0.9572 0.9702
November 1.0269 0.9656 1.0075
December 1.0757 1.0378 1.0586