YEARLY HIGH
138.9821 IDR
YEARLY LOW
125.8672 IDR
YEARLY AVERAGE
133.5519 IDR

2016 CVE to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the CVE to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 23, valuing the pair at 138.9821. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 125.8672.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 13.1149 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 136.6728 to the December average rate of 128.2023, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.20% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 138.9821 was down 7.22% compared to the 2015 peak of 149.7972, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CVE based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 694,910 IDR
2015 Average 674,526 IDR
Yearly Trough Low 629,336 IDR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 65,574.44 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

138.9157
127.2284
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CVE to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 135.7992, compared to 131.3047 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.4945 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 135.7992
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 131.3047

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 6.9463 IDR (High: 138.6514 / Low: 131.7051). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.0147 IDR (High: 132.6640 / Low: 130.6493).

June Spread (Volatile) ±6.9463
July Spread (Stable) ±2.0147

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 4.3272 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.3272

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 137.9418) against the same month in 2015 (average: 133.0619), the exchange rate shifted by +4.8799 (+3.67%).

2016 Avg (May) 137.9418
2015 Avg (May) 133.0619

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 138.1007 135.2576 136.6728
February 138.5581 132.1712 136.0241
March 135.9820 130.1283 132.7287
April 136.6373 134.4675 135.3788
May 138.9821 136.3471 137.9418
June 138.6514 131.7051 136.0488
July 132.6640 130.6493 131.7216
August 135.6845 131.9453 133.7543
September 134.5597 131.8608 133.4126
October 132.6966 128.4758 130.3620
November 131.8176 128.9475 130.3751
December 130.7614 125.8672 128.2023