YEARLY HIGH
0.7395 RUB
YEARLY LOW
0.6128 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6695 RUB

2018 CVE to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the CVE to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 10, valuing the pair at 0.7395. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 9, dropping to 0.6128.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1266 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6241 to the December average rate of 0.6958, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.50% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.7395 was up 13.99% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.6487, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CVE based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,697 RUB
2017 Average 2,979 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 3,064 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 633.10 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.7218
0.6152
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CVE to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6498, compared to 0.6893 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0395 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6498
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6893

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.0646 RUB (High: 0.7005 / Low: 0.6358). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0147 RUB (High: 0.6726 / Low: 0.6579).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0646
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0147

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0289 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0289

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 0.7130) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.6207), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0923 (+14.86%).

2018 Avg (September) 0.7130
2017 Avg (September) 0.6207

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6315 0.6128 0.6241
February 0.6458 0.6168 0.6344
March 0.6447 0.6263 0.6367
April 0.7005 0.6358 0.6737
May 0.6901 0.6513 0.6674
June 0.6713 0.6548 0.6625
July 0.6726 0.6579 0.6645
August 0.7208 0.6636 0.6936
September 0.7395 0.6887 0.7130
October 0.6962 0.6717 0.6841
November 0.6990 0.6731 0.6847
December 0.7208 0.6793 0.6958