YEARLY HIGH
0.0233 BRL
YEARLY LOW
0.0175 BRL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0196 BRL

2016 DJF to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the DJF to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 0.0233. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 25, dropping to 0.0175.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0058 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0228 to the December average rate of 0.0188, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.35% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0233 was down 0.19% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0234, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 117 BRL
2015 Average 94 BRL
Yearly Trough Low 88 BRL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 28.83 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0232
0.0175
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0208, compared to 0.0184 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0024 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0208
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0184

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.0021 BRL (High: 0.0203 / Low: 0.0182). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0007 BRL (High: 0.0189 / Low: 0.0182).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0021
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0007

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0016 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0016

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.0228) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0148), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0079 (+53.59%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.0228
2015 Avg (January) 0.0148

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0233 0.0222 0.0228
February 0.0228 0.0219 0.0223
March 0.0222 0.0202 0.0208
April 0.0207 0.0194 0.0200
May 0.0203 0.0193 0.0199
June 0.0203 0.0182 0.0193
July 0.0189 0.0182 0.0185
August 0.0184 0.0177 0.0181
September 0.0188 0.0180 0.0183
October 0.0184 0.0175 0.0180
November 0.0193 0.0179 0.0188
December 0.0198 0.0182 0.0188