YEARLY HIGH
0.0236 BRL
YEARLY LOW
0.0177 BRL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0205 BRL

2018 DJF to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the DJF to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 13, valuing the pair at 0.0236. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 24, dropping to 0.0177.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0060 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0180 to the December average rate of 0.0219, the exchange rate registered a net change of 21.74% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0236 was up 25.35% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0189, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 118 BRL
2017 Average 89 BRL
Yearly Trough Low 88 BRL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 29.91 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0235
0.0174
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0193, compared to 0.0218 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0025 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0193
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0218

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0025 BRL (High: 0.0233 / Low: 0.0208). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0004 BRL (High: 0.0220 / Low: 0.0216).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0025
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0019 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0019

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 0.0230) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0175), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0055 (+31.36%).

2018 Avg (September) 0.0230
2017 Avg (September) 0.0175

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0186 0.0177 0.0180
February 0.0186 0.0177 0.0183
March 0.0188 0.0181 0.0185
April 0.0198 0.0187 0.0193
May 0.0210 0.0198 0.0204
June 0.0219 0.0208 0.0212
July 0.0221 0.0208 0.0215
August 0.0233 0.0208 0.0220
September 0.0236 0.0225 0.0230
October 0.0226 0.0205 0.0211
November 0.0221 0.0208 0.0212
December 0.0220 0.0216 0.0219