2016 DJF to ETB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1266 ETB

YEARLY LOW

0.1192 ETB

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1229 ETB

2016 DJF to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the DJF to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 0.1266. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 13, dropping to 0.1192.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0074 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1196 to the December average rate of 0.1255, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.95% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.1266 was up 6.04% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.1194, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 633 ETB

2015 Average 582 ETB

Yearly Trough Low 596 ETB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 36.95 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.1261

0.1190

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1210, compared to 0.1248 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0038 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1210

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1248

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was December, with a trading range of 0.0022 ETB (High: 0.1266 / Low: 0.1243). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0007 ETB (High: 0.1216 / Low: 0.1210).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0022

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0007

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 11 straight months. No significant month-over-month rate declines were detected.

Longest Streak 11 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0000

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.1255) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.1188), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0066 (+5.60%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.1255

2015 Avg (December) 0.1188

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1205	0.1192	0.1196
February	0.1206	0.1194	0.1200
March	0.1211	0.1199	0.1204
April	0.1216	0.1210	0.1213
May	0.1231	0.1213	0.1221
June	0.1233	0.1222	0.1227
July	0.1246	0.1232	0.1238
August	0.1251	0.1241	0.1244
September	0.1250	0.1242	0.1246
October	0.1255	0.1243	0.1249
November	0.1257	0.1249	0.1254
December	0.1266	0.1243	0.1255