2018 DJF to ETB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1598 ETB

YEARLY LOW

0.1526 ETB

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1556 ETB

2018 DJF to ETB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the DJF to ETB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 0.1598. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 16, dropping to 0.1526.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0073 ETB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1536 to the December average rate of 0.1584, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.11% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.1598 was up 3.71% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.1541, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 799 ETB

2017 Average 670 ETB

Yearly Trough Low 763 ETB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 36.33 ETB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.1589

0.1531

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to ETB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1548, compared to 0.1564 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0015 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1548

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1564

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.0034 ETB (High: 0.1598 / Low: 0.1565). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0009 ETB (High: 0.1558 / Low: 0.1548).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0034

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0009

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0005 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0005

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 0.1584) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.1530), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0053 (+3.49%).

2018 Avg (December) 0.1584

2017 Avg (December) 0.1530

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1546	0.1526	0.1536
February	0.1558	0.1535	0.1549
March	0.1558	0.1547	0.1553
April	0.1558	0.1548	0.1554
May	0.1558	0.1544	0.1549
June	0.1552	0.1540	0.1548
July	0.1560	0.1539	0.1549
August	0.1559	0.1544	0.1552
September	0.1570	0.1547	0.1557
October	0.1579	0.1550	0.1566
November	0.1581	0.1556	0.1573
December	0.1598	0.1565	0.1584