YEARLY HIGH
0.6828 JPY
YEARLY LOW
0.5634 JPY
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6122 JPY

2016 DJF to JPY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the DJF to JPY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 0.6828. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 17, dropping to 0.5634.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1194 JPY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6668 to the December average rate of 0.6503, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.48% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.6828 was down 3.65% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.7086, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,414 JPY
2015 Average 3,408 JPY
Yearly Trough Low 2,817 JPY
Transaction Impact: A difference of 596.94 JPY purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.6764
0.5616
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to JPY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6285, compared to 0.5958 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0326 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6285
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5958

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0609 JPY (High: 0.6400 / Low: 0.5791). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0136 JPY (High: 0.6410 / Low: 0.6274).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0609
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0136

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0217 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0217

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.6668) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.6655), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0013 (+0.19%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.6668
2015 Avg (January) 0.6655

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6828 0.6576 0.6668
February 0.6816 0.6313 0.6451
March 0.6410 0.6274 0.6360
April 0.6293 0.5996 0.6171
May 0.6237 0.5993 0.6130
June 0.6181 0.5740 0.5930
July 0.6032 0.5670 0.5855
August 0.5810 0.5634 0.5711
September 0.5867 0.5650 0.5750
October 0.5925 0.5704 0.5836
November 0.6400 0.5791 0.6095
December 0.6620 0.6361 0.6503