2016 DJF to KZT Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.1616 KZT

YEARLY LOW

1.8390 KZT

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.9246 KZT

2016 DJF to KZT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the DJF to KZT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 2.1616. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 1, dropping to 1.8390.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3227 KZT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.0397 to the December average rate of 1.8735, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.15% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2.1616 was up 11.90% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.9318, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,808 KZT

2015 Average 6,255 KZT

Yearly Trough Low 9,195 KZT

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,613.28 KZT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2.0566

1.8537

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to KZT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.9439, compared to 1.9052 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0387 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.9439

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.9052

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.2428 KZT (High: 2.1616 / Low: 1.9189). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0309 KZT (High: 1.9621 / Low: 1.9313).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2428

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0309

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0738 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0738

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 2.0397) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.0335), the exchange rate shifted by +1.0062 (+97.36%).

2016 Avg (January) 2.0397

2015 Avg (January) 1.0335

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.1616	1.9189	2.0397
February	2.1003	1.9666	2.0173
March	1.9621	1.9313	1.9435
April	1.9421	1.8430	1.8971
May	1.8988	1.8390	1.8713
June	1.9138	1.8653	1.8947
July	1.9958	1.8978	1.9275
August	1.9985	1.9074	1.9397
September	1.9416	1.8903	1.9104
October	1.8900	1.8577	1.8706
November	1.9410	1.8878	1.9098
December	1.9017	1.8536	1.8735