2018 DJF to KZT Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.1598 KZT

YEARLY LOW

1.7943 KZT

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.9396 KZT

2018 DJF to KZT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the DJF to KZT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 2.1598. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 25, dropping to 1.7943.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3655 KZT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.8293 to the December average rate of 2.0900, the exchange rate registered a net change of 14.26% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2.1598 was up 11.52% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.9367, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,799 KZT

2017 Average 9,123 KZT

Yearly Trough Low 8,972 KZT

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,827.31 KZT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2.1178

1.7845

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to KZT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.8389, compared to 2.0403 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2014 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.8389

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.0403

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.1449 KZT (High: 2.1375 / Low: 1.9926). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0205 KZT (High: 1.8221 / Low: 1.8016).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.1449

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0205

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0163 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0163

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 2.0900) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.8676), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2224 (+11.91%).

2018 Avg (December) 2.0900

2017 Avg (December) 1.8676

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.8624	1.7943	1.8293
February	1.8460	1.7946	1.8130
March	1.8221	1.8016	1.8123
April	1.8700	1.8027	1.8374
May	1.8688	1.8331	1.8504
June	1.9183	1.8601	1.8913
July	1.9521	1.9170	1.9351
August	2.0443	1.9577	2.0085
September	2.1375	1.9926	2.0609
October	2.0946	2.0392	2.0654
November	2.1072	2.0564	2.0822
December	2.1598	2.0762	2.0900