YEARLY HIGH
0.1160 MDL
YEARLY LOW
0.1098 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1119 MDL

2016 DJF to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the DJF to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 13, valuing the pair at 0.1160. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 4, dropping to 0.1098.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0062 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1144 to the December average rate of 0.1127, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.45% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.1160 was up 1.83% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.1140, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 580 MDL
2015 Average 528 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 549 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 31.02 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.1148
0.1102
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1120, compared to 0.1118 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0001 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1120
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1118

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0050 MDL (High: 0.1160 / Low: 0.1110). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0007 MDL (High: 0.1116 / Low: 0.1109).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0050
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0007

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0017 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0017

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.1144) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0936), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0208 (+22.16%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.1144
2015 Avg (January) 0.0936

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1160 0.1110 0.1144
February 0.1144 0.1120 0.1130
March 0.1127 0.1099 0.1112
April 0.1110 0.1098 0.1105
May 0.1126 0.1106 0.1115
June 0.1119 0.1104 0.1112
July 0.1121 0.1109 0.1115
August 0.1116 0.1109 0.1112
September 0.1116 0.1109 0.1112
October 0.1132 0.1106 0.1118
November 0.1138 0.1112 0.1127
December 0.1134 0.1113 0.1127