YEARLY HIGH
0.0972 MDL
YEARLY LOW
0.0925 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0945 MDL

2018 DJF to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the DJF to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 18, valuing the pair at 0.0972. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 5, dropping to 0.0925.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0048 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0948 to the December average rate of 0.0965, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.72% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0972 was down 14.12% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.1132, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 486 MDL
2017 Average 516 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 462 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 23.77 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0968
0.0926
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0940, compared to 0.0950 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0010 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0940
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0950

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.0027 MDL (High: 0.0955 / Low: 0.0928). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0013 MDL (High: 0.0937 / Low: 0.0925).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0027
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0013

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0009 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0009

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 0.0965) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0961), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0004 (+0.39%).

2018 Avg (December) 0.0965
2017 Avg (December) 0.0961

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0961 0.0934 0.0948
February 0.0945 0.0929 0.0939
March 0.0943 0.0930 0.0936
April 0.0937 0.0925 0.0930
May 0.0955 0.0928 0.0939
June 0.0955 0.0941 0.0948
July 0.0950 0.0931 0.0939
August 0.0944 0.0927 0.0934
September 0.0950 0.0936 0.0944
October 0.0965 0.0948 0.0955
November 0.0969 0.0955 0.0961
December 0.0972 0.0951 0.0965