YEARLY HIGH
5.8969 MMK
YEARLY LOW
5.3606 MMK
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.5162 MMK

2014 DJF to MMK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the DJF to MMK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 22, valuing the pair at 5.8969. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 18, dropping to 5.3606.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5364 MMK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.5351 to the December average rate of 5.7784, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.40% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 5.8969 was up 6.08% compared to the 2013 peak of 5.5588, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 29,485 MMK
2013 Average 26,300 MMK
Yearly Trough Low 26,803 MMK
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,681.80 MMK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

5.8176
5.3482
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to MMK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.4536, compared to 5.5787 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1251 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.4536
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.5787

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was November, with a trading range of 0.3036 MMK (High: 5.8969 / Low: 5.5933). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0351 MMK (High: 5.4560 / Low: 5.4210).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.3036
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0351

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0834 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0834

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2014: 5.7539) against the same month in 2013 (average: 5.4917), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2622 (+4.77%).

2014 Avg (November) 5.7539
2013 Avg (November) 5.4917

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.5517 5.5114 5.5351
February 5.5483 5.4897 5.5264
March 5.5216 5.3768 5.4430
April 5.4274 5.3606 5.3873
May 5.4290 5.3666 5.3904
June 5.4923 5.3990 5.4396
July 5.4633 5.4161 5.4437
August 5.4560 5.4210 5.4358
September 5.5828 5.4240 5.4938
October 5.6463 5.5235 5.5668
November 5.8969 5.5933 5.7539
December 5.8033 5.7464 5.7784