YEARLY HIGH
9.1354 MMK
YEARLY LOW
7.4558 MMK
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.1086 MMK

2018 DJF to MMK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the DJF to MMK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 22, valuing the pair at 9.1354. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 18, dropping to 7.4558.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6796 MMK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.5274 to the December average rate of 8.7988, the exchange rate registered a net change of 16.89% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 9.1354 was up 18.52% compared to the 2017 peak of 7.7082, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 45,677 MMK
2017 Average 38,069 MMK
Yearly Trough Low 37,279 MMK
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,397.99 MMK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

9.1237
7.3598
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to MMK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.5722, compared to 8.6450 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.0728 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.5722
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.6450

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.6086 MMK (High: 9.1354 / Low: 8.5268). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0428 MMK (High: 7.5802 / Low: 7.5373).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.6086
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0428

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1779 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1779

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 8.8063) against the same month in 2017 (average: 7.6144), the exchange rate shifted by +1.1919 (+15.65%).

2018 Avg (September) 8.8063
2017 Avg (September) 7.6144

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.5829 7.4608 7.5274
February 7.5793 7.4578 7.5068
March 7.5802 7.5373 7.5517
April 7.6258 7.4558 7.5351
May 7.6331 7.5491 7.6017
June 7.9701 7.5890 7.7105
July 8.1902 7.9033 8.0317
August 8.6967 8.1932 8.4202
September 9.1354 8.5268 8.8063
October 9.0492 8.5545 8.8365
November 9.0335 8.8672 8.9767
December 8.9301 8.6758 8.7988