YEARLY HIGH
0.0458 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.0448 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0454 MOP

2018 DJF to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the DJF to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 1, valuing the pair at 0.0458. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 14, dropping to 0.0448.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0010 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0451 to the December average rate of 0.0453, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.46% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0458 was up 1.05% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0453, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 229 MOP
2017 Average 224 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 224 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4.89 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0458
0.0450
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0454, compared to 0.0453 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0001 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0454
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0453

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.0004 MOP (High: 0.0458 / Low: 0.0454). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 MOP (High: 0.0455 / Low: 0.0453).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0004
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0002 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0002

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2018: 0.0455) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0448), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0007 (+1.55%).

2018 Avg (May) 0.0455
2017 Avg (May) 0.0448

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0452 0.0448 0.0451
February 0.0456 0.0451 0.0454
March 0.0457 0.0455 0.0456
April 0.0458 0.0456 0.0457
May 0.0458 0.0454 0.0455
June 0.0455 0.0453 0.0454
July 0.0455 0.0454 0.0454
August 0.0455 0.0452 0.0454
September 0.0455 0.0452 0.0453
October 0.0455 0.0452 0.0453
November 0.0453 0.0450 0.0453
December 0.0455 0.0452 0.0453