YEARLY HIGH
0.0546 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.0446 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0454 MOP

2019 DJF to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the DJF to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 22, valuing the pair at 0.0546. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 25, dropping to 0.0446.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0100 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0457 to the December average rate of 0.0451, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.14% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.0546 was up 19.15% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.0458, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 273 MOP
2018 Average 227 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 223 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 49.84 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.0457
0.0451
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0454, compared to 0.0453 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0002 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0454
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0453

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 0.0094 MOP (High: 0.0546 / Low: 0.0452). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0001 MOP (High: 0.0454 / Low: 0.0454).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0094
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0003 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0003

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 0.0457) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.0451), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0006 (+1.34%).

2019 Avg (January) 0.0457
2018 Avg (January) 0.0451

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0546 0.0452 0.0457
February 0.0454 0.0454 0.0454
March 0.0454 0.0453 0.0454
April 0.0455 0.0453 0.0454
May 0.0455 0.0453 0.0454
June 0.0455 0.0451 0.0453
July 0.0454 0.0451 0.0452
August 0.0454 0.0446 0.0453
September 0.0456 0.0449 0.0453
October 0.0454 0.0452 0.0454
November 0.0453 0.0452 0.0453
December 0.0453 0.0450 0.0451