YEARLY HIGH
4.0848 SOS
YEARLY LOW
3.3865 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.7964 SOS

2015 DJF to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the DJF to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 4.0848. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 2, dropping to 3.3865.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6982 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.0220 to the December average rate of 3.4675, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.79% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 4.0848 was down 35.87% compared to the 2014 peak of 6.3694, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,424 SOS
2014 Average 25,496 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 16,933 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,491.14 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

4.0774
3.4121
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.9571, compared to 3.6357 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3215 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.9571
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.6357

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was September, with a trading range of 0.1505 SOS (High: 3.7353 / Low: 3.5848). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0448 SOS (High: 3.9756 / Low: 3.9308).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.1505
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0448

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1147 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1147

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 4.0220) against the same month in 2014 (average: 6.2072), the exchange rate shifted by -2.1853 (-35.21%).

2015 Avg (January) 4.0220
2014 Avg (January) 6.2072

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.0848 3.9553 4.0220
February 3.9777 3.9127 3.9401
March 3.9756 3.9308 3.9494
April 3.9756 3.9055 3.9505
May 3.9762 3.9263 3.9441
June 3.9803 3.9088 3.9366
July 3.9108 3.7653 3.8488
August 3.7908 3.7362 3.7573
September 3.7353 3.5848 3.6628
October 3.6161 3.5018 3.5962
November 3.5221 3.4147 3.4814
December 3.5078 3.3865 3.4675