YEARLY HIGH
3.3042 SOS
YEARLY LOW
3.2096 SOS
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.2550 SOS

2018 DJF to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the DJF to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 16, valuing the pair at 3.3042. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 11, dropping to 3.2096.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0946 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.2445 to the December average rate of 3.2576, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.41% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3.3042 was down 0.56% compared to the 2017 peak of 3.3227, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 16,521 SOS
2017 Average 16,194 SOS
Yearly Trough Low 16,048 SOS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 472.85 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3.2851
3.2369
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.2581, compared to 3.2518 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0063 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.2581
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.2518

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.0796 SOS (High: 3.2891 / Low: 3.2096). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0160 SOS (High: 3.2531 / Low: 3.2370).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0796
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0160

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0199 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0199

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2018: 3.2811) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.2310), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0501 (+1.55%).

2018 Avg (March) 3.2811
2017 Avg (March) 3.2310

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.2891 3.2096 3.2445
February 3.2943 3.2456 3.2711
March 3.3042 3.2634 3.2811
April 3.2905 3.2337 3.2655
May 3.2833 3.2135 3.2456
June 3.2631 3.2135 3.2409
July 3.2645 3.2275 3.2493
August 3.2531 3.2370 3.2480
September 3.2536 3.2372 3.2474
October 3.2640 3.2353 3.2543
November 3.2640 3.2236 3.2541
December 3.2653 3.2446 3.2576