2016 EGP to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

13.1069 KES

YEARLY LOW

5.2101 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.8677 KES

2016 EGP to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the EGP to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 13.1069. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 5.2101.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.8968 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.0712 to the December average rate of 5.5544, the exchange rate registered a net change of -57.51% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 13.1069 was down 3.22% compared to the 2015 peak of 13.5435, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 EGP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 65,534 KES

2015 Average 63,692 KES

Yearly Trough Low 26,050 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 39,483.88 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

13.8229

4.8027

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

EGP to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.0596, compared to 9.6758 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.3838 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.0596

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.6758

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 5.7628 KES (High: 11.4492 / Low: 5.6864). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0310 KES (High: 11.4262 / Low: 11.3952).

November Spread (Volatile) ±5.7628

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0310

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 4.5726 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -4.5726

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 13.0712) against the same month in 2015 (average: 12.5789), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4923 (+3.91%).

2016 Avg (January) 13.0712

2015 Avg (January) 12.5789

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	13.1069	13.0259	13.0712
February	13.0743	12.9789	13.0188
March	12.9964	11.3424	12.1173
April	11.4568	11.3791	11.4048
May	11.3868	11.3056	11.3488
June	11.4886	11.3591	11.3970
July	11.4371	11.3819	11.4103
August	11.4463	11.4051	11.4237
September	11.4262	11.3952	11.4084
October	11.4370	11.3751	11.4154
November	11.4492	5.6864	6.8428
December	5.7208	5.2101	5.5544