YEARLY HIGH
5.8553 KES
YEARLY LOW
5.5940 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.6885 KES

2018 EGP to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the EGP to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 5.8553. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 22, dropping to 5.5940.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2613 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.8115 to the December average rate of 5.7058, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.82% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.8553 was down 11.00% compared to the 2017 peak of 6.5789, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 EGP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 29,277 KES
2017 Average 29,014 KES
Yearly Trough Low 27,970 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,306.29 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.8299
5.6090
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

EGP to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.7158, compared to 5.6612 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0546 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.7158
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.6612

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.1162 KES (High: 5.7753 / Low: 5.6591). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0421 KES (High: 5.6723 / Low: 5.6302).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1162
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0421

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0727 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0727

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 5.8115) against the same month in 2017 (average: 5.5708), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2407 (+4.32%).

2018 Avg (January) 5.8115
2017 Avg (January) 5.5708

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.8553 5.7807 5.8115
February 5.7744 5.6980 5.7388
March 5.7637 5.7085 5.7391
April 5.7448 5.6316 5.6938
May 5.6955 5.6067 5.6566
June 5.6723 5.6302 5.6550
July 5.6466 5.5940 5.6274
August 5.6570 5.6095 5.6330
September 5.6573 5.6108 5.6384
October 5.6896 5.6201 5.6457
November 5.7753 5.6591 5.7170
December 5.7388 5.6581 5.7058