2016 EGP to SCR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.8311 SCR

YEARLY LOW

0.6889 SCR

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.4201 SCR

2016 EGP to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the EGP to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 14, valuing the pair at 1.8311. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 0.6889.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1422 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.6706 to the December average rate of 0.7278, the exchange rate registered a net change of -56.43% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.8311 was down 7.72% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.9843, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 EGP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,155 SCR

2015 Average 8,642 SCR

Yearly Trough Low 3,444 SCR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,711.10 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.8085

0.6296

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

EGP to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5763, compared to 1.2639 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3124 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5763

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2639

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.7610 SCR (High: 1.5036 / Low: 0.7426). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0299 SCR (High: 1.5070 / Low: 1.4772).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.7610

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0299

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.5956 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5956

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 1.7102) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.8400), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1298 (-7.05%).

2016 Avg (February) 1.7102

2015 Avg (February) 1.8400

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.7441	1.6385	1.6706
February	1.8311	1.6387	1.7102
March	1.7179	1.4817	1.5869
April	1.5882	1.4385	1.5140
May	1.5601	1.4681	1.5009
June	1.5081	1.4313	1.4753
July	1.5165	1.4361	1.4822
August	1.5164	1.4708	1.4911
September	1.5070	1.4772	1.4931
October	1.5098	1.4690	1.4925
November	1.5036	0.7426	0.8969
December	0.7560	0.6889	0.7278