2013 ERN to EGP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

7.0319 EGP

YEARLY LOW

6.3436 EGP

YEARLY AVERAGE

6.8737 EGP

2013 ERN to EGP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the ERN to EGP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 7, valuing the pair at 7.0319. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 6.3436.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6884 EGP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.5526 to the December average rate of 6.9008, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.31% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 7.0319 was up 11.21% compared to the 2012 peak of 6.3230, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ERN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 35,160 EGP

2012 Average 30,350 EGP

Yearly Trough Low 31,718 EGP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,441.82 EGP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

7.0538

6.5070

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ERN to EGP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.8170, compared to 6.9305 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1136 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.8170

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.9305

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was January, with a trading range of 0.3579 EGP (High: 6.7015 / Low: 6.3436). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0076 EGP (High: 6.8953 / Low: 6.8877).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.3579

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0076

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0827 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0827

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2013: 7.0082) against the same month in 2012 (average: 6.0645), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9437 (+15.56%).

2013 Avg (July) 7.0082

2012 Avg (July) 6.0645

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	6.7015	6.3436	6.5526
February	6.7435	6.7006	6.7245
March	6.8329	6.7392	6.7800
April	6.9303	6.7952	6.8793
May	6.9919	6.9355	6.9658
June	7.0294	6.9842	6.9996
July	7.0319	6.9937	7.0082
August	6.9954	6.9791	6.9886
September	6.9918	6.8811	6.9059
October	6.8953	6.8877	6.8912
November	6.9015	6.8789	6.8884
December	6.9532	6.8786	6.9008