YEARLY HIGH
0.6545 EGP
YEARLY LOW
0.6290 EGP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6436 EGP

2018 ETB to EGP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ETB to EGP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 25, valuing the pair at 0.6545. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 0.6290.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0255 EGP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6448 to the December average rate of 0.6352, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.49% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.6545 was down 22.45% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.8439, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,272 EGP
2017 Average 3,741 EGP
Yearly Trough Low 3,145 EGP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 127.50 EGP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.6501
0.6338
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to EGP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6444, compared to 0.6428 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0015 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6444
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6428

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.0140 EGP (High: 0.6430 / Low: 0.6290). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0051 EGP (High: 0.6510 / Low: 0.6460).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0140
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0051

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0040 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0040

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 0.6487) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.7712), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1225 (-15.88%).

2018 Avg (July) 0.6487
2017 Avg (July) 0.7712

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6494 0.6412 0.6448
February 0.6455 0.6400 0.6425
March 0.6433 0.6374 0.6410
April 0.6468 0.6390 0.6430
May 0.6516 0.6399 0.6466
June 0.6510 0.6460 0.6482
July 0.6545 0.6445 0.6487
August 0.6494 0.6428 0.6467
September 0.6507 0.6384 0.6450
October 0.6495 0.6361 0.6422
November 0.6431 0.6357 0.6392
December 0.6430 0.6290 0.6352