YEARLY HIGH
13.7707 HUF
YEARLY LOW
12.2557 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
12.8911 HUF

2016 ETB to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ETB to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 13.7707. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 8, dropping to 12.2557.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.5150 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.6165 to the December average rate of 13.2216, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.90% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 13.7707 was down 3.56% compared to the 2015 peak of 14.2786, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 68,853 HUF
2015 Average 67,505 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 61,279 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,574.76 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

13.7327
12.3381
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.0291, compared to 12.7532 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2759 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.0291
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.7532

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.8238 HUF (High: 13.1568 / Low: 12.3330). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2143 HUF (High: 12.8213 / Low: 12.6070).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.8238
April Spread (Stable) ±0.2143

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.5125 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5125

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 13.6165) against the same month in 2015 (average: 13.4181), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1983 (+1.48%).

2016 Avg (January) 13.6165
2015 Avg (January) 13.4181

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 13.7707 13.4183 13.6165
February 13.3996 12.9143 13.1040
March 13.3662 12.8431 13.0633
April 12.8213 12.6070 12.7500
May 12.9866 12.5337 12.8395
June 13.2022 12.5399 12.8013
July 13.0607 12.6421 12.9387
August 12.7189 12.4028 12.5435
September 12.5721 12.2807 12.4544
October 12.8168 12.2557 12.5359
November 13.1568 12.3330 12.8253
December 13.4582 13.0371 13.2216