YEARLY HIGH
10.3574 HUF
YEARLY LOW
8.9663 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
9.7651 HUF

2018 ETB to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ETB to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 15, valuing the pair at 10.3574. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 8.9663.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3911 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.2300 to the December average rate of 10.0588, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.98% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 10.3574 was down 21.58% compared to the 2017 peak of 13.2074, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 51,787 HUF
2017 Average 57,591 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 44,832 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,955.50 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

10.2196
9.0861
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.4394, compared to 10.0908 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.6515 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.4394
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.0908

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.6007 HUF (High: 10.0986 / Low: 9.4979). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1823 HUF (High: 9.3007 / Low: 9.1185).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.6007
March Spread (Stable) ±0.1823

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0700 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0700

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2018: 10.1250) against the same month in 2017 (average: 11.0349), the exchange rate shifted by -0.9100 (-8.25%).

2018 Avg (August) 10.1250
2017 Avg (August) 11.0349

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 9.4654 9.0258 9.2300
February 9.3521 8.9663 9.1806
March 9.3007 9.1185 9.2084
April 9.4275 9.1220 9.2437
May 10.0986 9.4979 9.7411
June 10.3103 9.8033 10.0323
July 10.2876 9.9702 10.0661
August 10.3574 9.9260 10.1250
September 10.2266 9.8509 10.0550
October 10.3107 9.9755 10.1151
November 10.2916 10.0243 10.1251
December 10.1955 9.8738 10.0588