2016 ETB to IDR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

656.5742 IDR

YEARLY LOW

584.4302 IDR

YEARLY AVERAGE

609.5744 IDR

2016 ETB to IDR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ETB to IDR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 656.5742. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 20, dropping to 584.4302.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 72.1439 IDR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 652.8296 to the December average rate of 598.9200, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.26% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 656.5742 was down 6.54% compared to the 2015 peak of 702.5287, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,282,871 IDR

2015 Average 3,235,896 IDR

Yearly Trough Low 2,922,151 IDR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 360,719.72 IDR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

659.4439

580.0730

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to IDR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 624.1933, compared to 594.9556 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 29.2376 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 624.1933

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 594.9556

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 24.8424 IDR (High: 626.9642 / Low: 602.1217). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.3582 IDR (High: 589.7885 / Low: 584.4302).

June Spread (Volatile) ±24.8424

October Spread (Stable) ±5.3582

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 18.6604 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -18.6604

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 652.8296) against the same month in 2015 (average: 620.8381), the exchange rate shifted by +31.9915 (+5.15%).

2016 Avg (January) 652.8296

2015 Avg (January) 620.8381

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	656.5742	643.8296	652.8296
February	646.8544	625.5761	634.1692
March	622.8387	610.6813	615.5904
April	614.8467	608.6481	610.9769
May	626.8024	608.6790	619.1647
June	626.9642	602.1217	612.4288
July	601.4671	594.2825	597.4476
August	601.6618	593.2890	596.3101
September	601.7296	585.4524	593.6591
October	589.7885	584.4302	586.6873
November	607.9202	585.2638	596.7096
December	608.5579	590.7615	598.9200