YEARLY HIGH
4.1225 JPY
YEARLY LOW
3.8016 JPY
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.9901 JPY

2018 ETB to JPY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ETB to JPY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 4.1225. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 23, dropping to 3.8016.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3209 JPY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.0424 to the December average rate of 3.9776, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.60% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.1225 was down 21.27% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.2364, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,613 JPY
2017 Average 23,511 JPY
Yearly Trough Low 19,008 JPY
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,604.58 JPY purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.0657
3.8355
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to JPY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.9528, compared to 4.0273 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0745 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.9528
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.0273

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.1833 JPY (High: 4.1225 / Low: 3.9392). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0490 JPY (High: 4.0155 / Low: 3.9666).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1833
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0490

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1192 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1192

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 4.0424) against the same month in 2017 (average: 5.0979), the exchange rate shifted by -1.0556 (-20.71%).

2018 Avg (January) 4.0424
2017 Avg (January) 5.0979

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.1225 3.9392 4.0424
February 4.0137 3.8555 3.9232
March 3.8912 3.8016 3.8547
April 3.9809 3.8377 3.9159
May 4.0339 3.9364 3.9856
June 4.0155 3.9666 3.9951
July 4.0918 4.0048 4.0403
August 4.0463 3.9673 4.0160
September 4.1062 3.9953 4.0406
October 4.1190 3.9821 4.0430
November 4.0749 4.0174 4.0466
December 4.0425 3.8761 3.9776