YEARLY HIGH
3.5835 KGS
YEARLY LOW
3.0420 KGS
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.2058 KGS

2016 ETB to KGS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ETB to KGS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 13, valuing the pair at 3.5835. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 24, dropping to 3.0420.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5415 KGS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.5722 to the December average rate of 3.0923, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.43% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 3.5835 was down 1.17% compared to the 2015 peak of 3.6259, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 17,918 KGS
2015 Average 15,558 KGS
Yearly Trough Low 15,210 KGS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,707.53 KGS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

3.6228
3.0155
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to KGS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.3213, compared to 3.0904 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2309 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.3213
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.0904

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.1878 KGS (High: 3.4571 / Low: 3.2693). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0235 KGS (High: 3.1033 / Low: 3.0798).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.1878
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0235

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1786 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1786

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 3.5722) against the same month in 2015 (average: 2.9307), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6415 (+21.89%).

2016 Avg (January) 3.5722
2015 Avg (January) 2.9307

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.5835 3.5467 3.5722
February 3.5624 3.4489 3.5106
March 3.4571 3.2693 3.3795
April 3.2685 3.1661 3.2009
May 3.1768 3.1191 3.1518
June 3.1431 3.0771 3.1125
July 3.0847 3.0420 3.0661
August 3.1240 3.0881 3.1093
September 3.1367 3.0657 3.1094
October 3.0954 3.0534 3.0756
November 3.1033 3.0798 3.0895
December 3.1168 3.0742 3.0923