YEARLY HIGH
2.5384 KGS
YEARLY LOW
2.4151 KGS
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.4735 KGS

2018 ETB to KGS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ETB to KGS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 2.5384. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 2.4151.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1234 KGS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.5150 to the December average rate of 2.4367, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.12% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2.5384 was down 18.21% compared to the 2017 peak of 3.1036, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,692 KGS
2017 Average 14,415 KGS
Yearly Trough Low 12,075 KGS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 616.90 KGS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2.5229
2.4289
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to KGS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.4894, compared to 2.4576 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0318 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.4894
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.4576

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.0574 KGS (High: 2.5384 / Low: 2.4810). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0198 KGS (High: 2.4884 / Low: 2.4686).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0574
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0198

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0303 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0303

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 2.5150) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.0736), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5586 (-18.17%).

2018 Avg (January) 2.5150
2017 Avg (January) 3.0736

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.5384 2.4810 2.5150
February 2.5119 2.4677 2.4848
March 2.4884 2.4686 2.4788
April 2.4964 2.4765 2.4886
May 2.5060 2.4784 2.4909
June 2.4927 2.4690 2.4784
July 2.4934 2.4565 2.4746
August 2.4781 2.4550 2.4652
September 2.4745 2.4370 2.4573
October 2.4870 2.4412 2.4577
November 2.4806 2.4408 2.4540
December 2.4666 2.4151 2.4367