YEARLY HIGH
21.5528 KMF
YEARLY LOW
19.6667 KMF
YEARLY AVERAGE
20.3203 KMF

2016 ETB to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ETB to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 21.5528. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 19, dropping to 19.6667.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8861 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 21.2585 to the December average rate of 20.8523, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.91% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 21.5528 was down 6.23% compared to the 2015 peak of 22.9839, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 107,764 KMF
2015 Average 107,225 KMF
Yearly Trough Low 98,333 KMF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,430.54 KMF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

21.3963
19.7418
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 20.4596, compared to 20.1810 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2786 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 20.4596
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 20.1810

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 1.0074 KMF (High: 20.8339 / Low: 19.8265). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3238 KMF (High: 20.1026 / Low: 19.7788).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.0074
September Spread (Stable) ±0.3238

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.5532 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5532

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 21.2585) against the same month in 2015 (average: 20.8953), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3632 (+1.74%).

2016 Avg (January) 21.2585
2015 Avg (January) 20.8953

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 21.5528 20.8502 21.2585
February 21.2123 20.4548 20.8008
March 21.1850 20.3184 20.6876
April 20.3367 19.9982 20.1344
May 20.2438 19.8291 19.9923
June 20.1549 19.7240 19.8842
July 20.3420 19.6667 19.9339
August 20.2839 19.8612 20.1089
September 20.1026 19.7788 19.8797
October 20.1998 19.7741 19.9644
November 20.8339 19.8265 20.3467
December 21.3267 20.5417 20.8523