YEARLY HIGH
8.7238 KMF
YEARLY LOW
7.8861 KMF
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.3240 KMF

2023 ETB to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the ETB to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 8.7238. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 7.8861.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8377 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.5212 to the December average rate of 8.0337, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.72% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 8.7238 was down 10.38% compared to the 2022 peak of 9.7341, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 43,619 KMF
2022 Average 44,982 KMF
Yearly Trough Low 39,431 KMF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,188.26 KMF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

8.6236
7.9801
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.4357, compared to 8.2123 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2234 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.4357
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.2123

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was November, with a trading range of 0.4253 KMF (High: 8.4113 / Low: 7.9860). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1432 KMF (High: 8.4762 / Low: 8.3330).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.4253
October Spread (Stable) ±0.1432

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.2835 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2835

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2023: 8.5212) against the same month in 2022 (average: 8.7654), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2442 (-2.79%).

2023 Avg (January) 8.5212
2022 Avg (January) 8.7654

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.7238 8.4155 8.5212
February 8.6860 8.4071 8.5673
March 8.6977 8.3812 8.5700
April 8.4037 8.1909 8.2865
May 8.4885 8.1923 8.3357
June 8.4697 8.2169 8.3333
July 8.2895 7.9512 8.1266
August 8.2721 8.1202 8.1961
September 8.4835 8.2216 8.3471
October 8.4762 8.3330 8.3842
November 8.4113 7.9860 8.1859
December 8.2096 7.8861 8.0337