YEARLY HIGH
0.2880 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.2509 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2765 MOP

2019 ETB to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ETB to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 0.2880. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.2509.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0372 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2848 to the December average rate of 0.2553, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.35% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.2880 was down 2.66% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.2959, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,440 MOP
2018 Average 1,459 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 1,254 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 185.76 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.2877
0.2524
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2818, compared to 0.2712 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0106 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2818
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2712

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was December, with a trading range of 0.0143 MOP (High: 0.2651 / Low: 0.2509). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0031 MOP (High: 0.2849 / Low: 0.2818).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0143
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0031

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0142 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0142

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 0.2848) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.2933), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0085 (-2.91%).

2019 Avg (January) 0.2848
2018 Avg (January) 0.2933

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.2880 0.2832 0.2848
February 0.2862 0.2826 0.2839
March 0.2849 0.2818 0.2832
April 0.2827 0.2793 0.2806
May 0.2821 0.2777 0.2798
June 0.2807 0.2767 0.2784
July 0.2817 0.2758 0.2778
August 0.2791 0.2736 0.2767
September 0.2784 0.2732 0.2747
October 0.2758 0.2711 0.2733
November 0.2735 0.2634 0.2695
December 0.2651 0.2509 0.2553