YEARLY HIGH
0.0522 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.0500 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0512 MOP

2026 ETB to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the ETB to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 7, valuing the pair at 0.0522. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 20, dropping to 0.0500.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0022 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0516 to the December average rate of 0.0502, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.67% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 0.0522 was down 18.45% compared to the 2025 peak of 0.0640, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 261 MOP
2025 Average 290 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 250 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 10.95 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

0.0520
0.0501
JanuMarcMayJuly

ETB to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0513, compared to 0.0502 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0011 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0513
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0502

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was June, with a trading range of 0.0012 MOP (High: 0.0512 / Low: 0.0501). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0004 MOP (High: 0.0518 / Low: 0.0514).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0012
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0009 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0009

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 0.0517) against the same month in 2025 (average: 0.0615), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0098 (-15.96%).

2026 Avg (March) 0.0517
2025 Avg (March) 0.0615

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0518 0.0514 0.0516
February 0.0521 0.0516 0.0518
March 0.0522 0.0512 0.0517
April 0.0517 0.0513 0.0516
May 0.0514 0.0503 0.0507
June 0.0512 0.0501 0.0506
July 0.0507 0.0500 0.0502