YEARLY HIGH
12.9842 NGN
YEARLY LOW
10.4788 NGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
12.3363 NGN

2019 ETB to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ETB to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 12.9842. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 27, dropping to 10.4788.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.5055 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.8140 to the December average rate of 11.5194, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.10% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 12.9842 was down 1.76% compared to the 2018 peak of 13.2174, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 64,921 NGN
2018 Average 65,292 NGN
Yearly Trough Low 52,394 NGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,527.30 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

12.9435
11.3899
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.5182, compared to 12.1545 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3637 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.5182
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.1545

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 2.1089 NGN (High: 12.5877 / Low: 10.4788). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1447 NGN (High: 12.7845 / Low: 12.6399).

August Spread (Volatile) ±2.1089
February Spread (Stable) ±0.1447

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.5887 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5887

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 12.8140) against the same month in 2018 (average: 13.1190), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3050 (-2.32%).

2019 Avg (January) 12.8140
2018 Avg (January) 13.1190

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 12.9842 12.6875 12.8140
February 12.7845 12.6399 12.6952
March 12.7353 12.5262 12.6173
April 12.5954 12.4012 12.5053
May 12.5702 12.3711 12.4695
June 12.5685 10.5237 12.0078
July 12.6039 12.3710 12.4438
August 12.5877 10.4788 12.3083
September 12.4409 12.2203 12.3052
October 12.3935 12.1360 12.2419
November 12.2965 11.8321 12.1082
December 11.9189 11.3577 11.5194