YEARLY HIGH
10.2256 NGN
YEARLY LOW
1.8166 NGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
9.2165 NGN

2021 ETB to NGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ETB to NGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 20, valuing the pair at 10.2256. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 1.8166.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.4089 NGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.8394 to the December average rate of 8.2443, the exchange rate registered a net change of -16.21% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 10.2256 was down 13.98% compared to the 2020 peak of 11.8870, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 51,128 NGN
2020 Average 54,570 NGN
Yearly Trough Low 9,083 NGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 42,044.73 NGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

9.9990
8.0848
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to NGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.5880, compared to 8.8450 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.7431 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.5880
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.8450

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was December, with a trading range of 6.7627 NGN (High: 8.5793 / Low: 1.8166). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1448 NGN (High: 9.4181 / Low: 9.2733).

December Spread (Volatile) ±6.7627
July Spread (Stable) ±0.1448

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.4053 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4053

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2021: 9.7874) against the same month in 2020 (average: 11.3416), the exchange rate shifted by -1.5542 (-13.70%).

2021 Avg (February) 9.7874
2020 Avg (February) 11.3416

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 10.0366 9.6574 9.8394
February 10.2256 9.4467 9.7874
March 9.9981 9.3075 9.5828
April 9.8944 9.0379 9.3831
May 9.7536 8.9345 9.4792
June 9.5708 9.3483 9.4563
July 9.4181 9.2733 9.3320
August 9.3155 9.0115 9.1204
September 9.0416 8.8508 8.9348
October 8.9018 8.6791 8.7887
November 8.7047 8.5404 8.6496
December 8.5793 1.8166 8.2443