YEARLY HIGH
4.2776 NPR
YEARLY LOW
3.6681 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.9522 NPR

2018 ETB to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ETB to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 10, valuing the pair at 4.2776. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 13, dropping to 3.6681.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6095 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.7084 to the December average rate of 4.0089, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.10% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.2776 was down 12.28% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.8763, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,388 NPR
2017 Average 21,848 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 18,341 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,047.28 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.2758
3.6569
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.8197, compared to 4.0848 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2651 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.8197
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.0848

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.2391 NPR (High: 4.2046 / Low: 3.9655). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0344 NPR (High: 3.7983 / Low: 3.7639).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2391
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0344

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1181 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1181

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 4.2242) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.0438), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1804 (+4.46%).

2018 Avg (October) 4.2242
2017 Avg (October) 4.0438

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.7535 3.6681 3.7084
February 3.7871 3.6977 3.7453
March 3.7983 3.7639 3.7835
April 3.8901 3.7812 3.8232
May 3.9696 3.8626 3.9234
June 3.9915 3.8910 3.9342
July 4.0189 3.9543 3.9852
August 4.1064 3.9519 4.0264
September 4.1969 4.1064 4.1579
October 4.2776 4.1794 4.2242
November 4.2046 3.9655 4.1061
December 4.1001 3.9342 4.0089