YEARLY HIGH
4.0634 NPR
YEARLY LOW
3.5729 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.8571 NPR

2019 ETB to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ETB to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 4, valuing the pair at 4.0634. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 3.5729.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4905 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.9843 to the December average rate of 3.6179, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.20% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 4.0634 was down 5.01% compared to the 2018 peak of 4.2776, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,317 NPR
2018 Average 19,767 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 17,864 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,452.62 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

4.0335
3.5801
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.9066, compared to 3.8077 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0989 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.9066
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.8077

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was December, with a trading range of 0.1741 NPR (High: 3.7470 / Low: 3.5729). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0714 NPR (High: 3.8817 / Low: 3.8103).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1741
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0714

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.2025 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2025

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 3.9957) against the same month in 2018 (average: 3.7453), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2504 (+6.69%).

2019 Avg (February) 3.9957
2018 Avg (February) 3.7453

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.0549 3.9139 3.9843
February 4.0634 3.9553 3.9957
March 3.9971 3.8459 3.8952
April 3.9093 3.8306 3.8621
May 3.9273 3.8243 3.8642
June 3.8761 3.8026 3.8382
July 3.8400 3.7594 3.7959
August 3.9563 3.8051 3.8885
September 3.9376 3.8370 3.8787
October 3.8817 3.8103 3.8446
November 3.8968 3.7440 3.8203
December 3.7470 3.5729 3.6179