2016 ETB to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

3.8700 RUB

YEARLY LOW

2.6875 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

3.0733 RUB

2016 ETB to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ETB to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 3.8700. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 2.6875.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1825 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.6032 to the December average rate of 2.7703, the exchange rate registered a net change of -23.12% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 3.8700 was up 11.79% compared to the 2015 peak of 3.4618, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 19,350 RUB

2015 Average 14,794 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 13,437 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,912.66 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

3.7071

2.6851

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.2675, compared to 2.8790 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3885 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.2675

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.8790

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.4328 RUB (High: 3.8700 / Low: 3.4373). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0492 RUB (High: 2.8472 / Low: 2.7981).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.4328

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0492

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.3543 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3543

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 3.6032) against the same month in 2015 (average: 3.1651), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4382 (+13.84%).

2016 Avg (January) 3.6032

2015 Avg (January) 3.1651

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	3.8700	3.4373	3.6032
February	3.7465	3.5254	3.6219
March	3.4475	3.1241	3.2676
April	3.1865	2.9999	3.0889
May	3.0862	2.9956	3.0399
June	3.0747	2.9208	2.9835
July	3.0220	2.8718	2.9314
August	3.0316	2.8916	2.9405
September	2.9822	2.8401	2.9177
October	2.8472	2.7981	2.8213
November	2.9523	2.8473	2.8930
December	2.8763	2.6875	2.7703