YEARLY HIGH
2.5445 RUB
YEARLY LOW
2.0311 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.2685 RUB

2018 ETB to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ETB to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 10, valuing the pair at 2.5445. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 2.0311.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5134 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.0641 to the December average rate of 2.3975, the exchange rate registered a net change of 16.16% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2.5445 was down 6.83% compared to the 2017 peak of 2.7312, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,722 RUB
2017 Average 12,226 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 10,156 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,566.78 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2.4756
2.0266
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.1606, compared to 2.3763 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2157 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.1606
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.3763

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.2057 RUB (High: 2.2914 / Low: 2.0856). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0512 RUB (High: 2.1059 / Low: 2.0547).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.2057
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0512

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0753 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0753

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 2.4382) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2.4518), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0137 (-0.56%).

2018 Avg (September) 2.4382
2017 Avg (September) 2.4518

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.1058 2.0358 2.0641
February 2.1276 2.0311 2.0678
March 2.1059 2.0547 2.0776
April 2.2914 2.0856 2.2114
May 2.3164 2.2224 2.2650
June 2.3155 2.2402 2.2777
July 2.3064 2.2427 2.2796
August 2.4693 2.2719 2.4033
September 2.5445 2.3518 2.4382
October 2.4126 2.3365 2.3628
November 2.4310 2.3445 2.3765
December 2.4663 2.3550 2.3975