YEARLY HIGH
299.5277 UZS
YEARLY LOW
280.5419 UZS
YEARLY AVERAGE
291.8018 UZS

2018 ETB to UZS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ETB to UZS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 7, valuing the pair at 299.5277. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 18, dropping to 280.5419.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 18.9858 UZS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 296.6935 to the December average rate of 295.1352, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.53% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 299.5277 was down 13.47% compared to the 2017 peak of 346.1690, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ETB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,497,639 UZS
2017 Average 1,047,871 UZS
Yearly Trough Low 1,402,709 UZS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 94,929.22 UZS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

299.4763
280.6048
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ETB to UZS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 294.2267, compared to 289.3768 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.8499 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 294.2267
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 289.3768

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 9.4378 UZS (High: 291.6484 / Low: 282.2106). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.4153 UZS (High: 283.4287 / Low: 281.0133).

September Spread (Volatile) ±9.4378
August Spread (Stable) ±2.4153

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 4.4418 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.4418

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 297.9036) against the same month in 2017 (average: 145.4573), the exchange rate shifted by +152.4464 (+104.80%).

2018 Avg (February) 297.9036
2017 Avg (February) 145.4573

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 299.3129 293.0415 296.6935
February 299.5277 296.7247 297.9036
March 297.9205 295.1742 296.6998
April 296.8198 292.8621 294.4687
May 293.4502 290.3819 292.0182
June 290.6019 285.7545 287.5764
July 286.3633 280.5419 283.4290
August 283.4287 281.0133 282.1774
September 291.6484 282.2106 286.4310
October 296.8474 290.2593 293.9555
November 296.7580 292.6361 295.1325
December 299.0053 293.0761 295.1352