YEARLY HIGH
11.5941 MOP
YEARLY LOW
10.0540 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
10.7796 MOP

2018 FKP to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the FKP to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 16, valuing the pair at 11.5941. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 11, dropping to 10.0540.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.5400 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.1282 to the December average rate of 10.2091, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.26% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 11.5941 was up 5.94% compared to the 2017 peak of 10.9435, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 FKP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 57,970 MOP
2017 Average 51,714 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 50,270 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,700.09 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

11.4814
10.0935
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

FKP to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.1106, compared to 10.4486 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6620 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.1106
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.4486

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.5982 MOP (High: 11.4568 / Low: 10.8586). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2084 MOP (High: 10.7443 / Low: 10.5358).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.5982
July Spread (Stable) ±0.2084

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.4798 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4798

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2018: 11.3657) against the same month in 2017 (average: 10.1328), the exchange rate shifted by +1.2330 (+12.17%).

2018 Avg (April) 11.3657
2017 Avg (April) 10.1328

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 11.4568 10.8586 11.1282
February 11.4884 11.0897 11.2569
March 11.4971 11.1044 11.2807
April 11.5941 11.1319 11.3657
May 11.0307 10.7150 10.8859
June 10.8495 10.5729 10.7463
July 10.7443 10.5358 10.6492
August 10.6117 10.2648 10.4007
September 10.7256 10.4004 10.5287
October 10.6829 10.2657 10.5065
November 10.5946 10.2719 10.3976
December 10.3245 10.0540 10.2091