YEARLY HIGH
5.5620 ARS
YEARLY LOW
3.7867 ARS
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.2356 ARS

2015 GEL to ARS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the GEL to ARS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 17, valuing the pair at 5.5620. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 14, dropping to 3.7867.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7754 ARS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.8692 to the December average rate of 4.7344, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.77% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 5.5620 was up 14.48% compared to the 2014 peak of 4.8584, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 27,810 ARS
2014 Average 23,042 ARS
Yearly Trough Low 18,933 ARS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,876.82 ARS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

5.0220
3.7556
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to ARS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.3639, compared to 4.1073 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2566 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.3639
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.1073

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was December, with a trading range of 1.5210 ARS (High: 5.5620 / Low: 4.0411). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0526 ARS (High: 4.0738 / Low: 4.0212).

December Spread (Volatile) ±1.5210
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0526

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.6875 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6875

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2015: 4.7344) against the same month in 2014 (average: 4.7946), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0601 (-1.25%).

2015 Avg (December) 4.7344
2014 Avg (December) 4.7946

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.8955 4.8260 4.8692
February 4.9403 4.8864 4.9165
March 4.9830 3.9433 4.6069
April 3.9520 3.8404 3.9194
May 3.9562 3.7867 3.8612
June 4.0704 3.9087 4.0104
July 4.0738 4.0212 4.0524
August 4.0505 3.8534 3.9798
September 3.9846 3.8223 3.9053
October 4.0113 3.9328 3.9670
November 4.0388 3.9485 4.0049
December 5.5620 4.0411 4.7344