YEARLY HIGH
20.9913 ARS
YEARLY LOW
13.8477 ARS
YEARLY AVERAGE
17.0146 ARS

2019 GEL to ARS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the GEL to ARS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 23, valuing the pair at 20.9913. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 12, dropping to 13.8477.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.1437 ARS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14.0307 to the December average rate of 20.6846, the exchange rate registered a net change of 47.42% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 20.9913 was up 24.42% compared to the 2018 peak of 16.8713, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 104,957 ARS
2018 Average 56,446 ARS
Yearly Trough Low 69,238 ARS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 35,718.29 ARS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

21.3500
13.3653
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to ARS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 15.3242, compared to 18.7051 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 3.3809 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 15.3242
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 18.7051

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 5.6305 ARS (High: 20.6457 / Low: 15.0152). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2195 ARS (High: 20.2018 / Low: 19.9823).

August Spread (Volatile) ±5.6305
November Spread (Stable) ±0.2195

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.9799 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9799

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 20.6846) against the same month in 2018 (average: 14.1979), the exchange rate shifted by +6.4866 (+45.69%).

2019 Avg (December) 20.6846
2018 Avg (December) 14.1979

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 14.2397 13.8477 14.0307
February 14.9223 13.9802 14.4549
March 16.3086 14.8734 15.3921
April 16.9416 15.4124 15.9866
May 16.6135 15.8429 16.3012
June 16.4465 14.9058 15.7796
July 15.0022 14.6232 14.7997
August 20.6457 15.0152 17.7919
September 20.2391 18.6811 19.1190
October 20.3471 19.2350 19.7279
November 20.2018 19.9823 20.1073
December 20.9913 20.1200 20.6846